Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at 漫果子大直店5/9 RDO店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.6% | +3.4 |
| Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.6% | -3.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +9.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Slimes | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Lapse | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Heaven | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Countermeasure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Psychopomp's Gale | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Gyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |